Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 104.005199 119.432747 137.577226 160.823293 190.314499 2.272029e+02 2.780554e+02
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 81.007919 99.132596 122.673089 156.585396 206.238881 2.801132e+02 4.072711e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 69.240794 88.098507 114.171989 154.798276 220.733573 3.331643e+02 5.689537e+02
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 62.134519 81.482727 109.592857 156.326204 239.310784 4.002114e+02 8.162497e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 55.569678 74.424273 102.794513 152.251298 246.330416 4.489499e+02 1.083892e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 53.067043 72.874621 103.966616 161.465520 281.100350 5.795152e+02 1.854414e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 48.566499 67.649340 98.341449 157.117619 286.351803 6.415007e+02 2.568970e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 45.590997 64.465483 95.620393 157.595690 302.603315 7.500060e+02 4.150049e+03
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 42.728832 61.150917 92.204835 155.951895 313.234040 8.523131e+02 6.806303e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 41.767452 60.844984 94.024799 165.473584 357.192327 1.143978e+03 2.269326e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.818290 62.224116 99.083562 183.345939 435.931579 1.793175e+03 4.286186e+06
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.585278 59.409010 95.776004 181.022996 449.279170 2.094825e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.504658 56.865112 93.048811 180.499704 473.030316 2.625485e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.171967 53.708301 88.804830 175.488180 478.691938 3.059739e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.356387 51.341866 85.896523 173.377085 495.791867 3.805672e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.056167 49.814708 84.543136 175.181887 532.239711 5.338421e+03 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.355640 47.409290 81.072245 170.371722 535.282706 6.348593e+03 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.974020 47.462230 82.886347 181.262802 628.839957 1.373196e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 28.498497 45.303410 79.596990 176.117268 629.821186 1.740169e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 27.521901 44.050290 78.218818 176.682488 667.661335 3.098733e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 26.463165 42.567259 76.176346 174.739620 688.909471 5.374792e+04 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 26.257952 42.755733 78.002535 186.016129 820.463830 1.270410e+06 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 26.524167 43.908762 82.261626 207.325569 1088.830546 NaN NaN